Donald Trump Ahead of Most Democrats in Florida With Joe Biden as the One Exception

A new poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden barely ahead of President Donald Trump in the swing state of Florida but the Republican bests other Democratic candidates.

Mason Dixon released a poll on Tuesday looking ahead to November. Biden takes 47 percent in Florida with Trump right behind him at 45 percent. Both men have nailed down their respective bases with 91 percent of Democrats behind Biden and 89 percent of Republicans for Trump. Biden edges Trump with voters outside the major parties 45 percent to 43 percent. Trump leads by 10 percent with men while Biden is ahead 11 percent with women. Trump takes 58 percent of whites while 92 percent of blacks and 61 percent of Hispanics opt for Biden.

Trump does better when matched against U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., leading him 49 percent to 44 percent thanks to the president taking 51 percent of voters outside the major parties and moving up to 64 percent of white voters.

Voters outside the major parties are more torn when Trump is paired against South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, leading him 49 percent to 45 percent. In this scenario, Trump’s margin with voters outside the major parties shrinks to 45 percent to 44 percent over the Democrat.

Trump does best when pitted against U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., leading her 51 percent to 42 percent. In that scenario, 51 percent of voters outside the major parties back Trump while 43 percent prefer Warren.

“Florida is a key swing state that President Donald Trump will likely need to win in order to get reelected,” Mason Dixon noted. “Currently, only former Vice President Joe Biden presents serious competition to Trump in the Sunshine State.  Statewide, Biden holds a narrow lead over Trump, with 47 percent of Florida voters backing him, 45 percent supporting the president and 8 percent undecided.  Trump currently has a clear advantage over his other top potential Democratic challengers.  Statewide, Trump crushes Elizabeth Warren (51 percent-42 percent), has a relatively comfortable margin over Bernie Sanders (49 percent-44 percent) and a slimmer lead over Pete Buttigeig (49 percent-45 percent).”

Asked about the candidates, Florida voters lean against most of them. Biden is slightly above water with 45 percent seeing him as favorable, 41 percent viewing him unfavorably while 14 percent are neutral on him. Trump is slightly upside down with 46 percent seeing him favorable, 47 percent viewing him unfavorable and 7 percent remaining neutral. Warren is in worse shape with 37 percent viewing her favorably, 48 percent seeing her as unfavorable, 13 percent being neutral on her and 2 percent not knowing who she is. A majority of those surveyed–52 percent–see Sanders as unfavorable while 35 percent seeing his favorably and 13 percent are neutral. Buttigieg is the least known candidate with 32 percent seeing him favorably, 38 percent viewing him unfavorably while 17 percent are neutral and 13 percent don’t know who he is.

The poll of 625 registered voters in Florida was taken from Dec. 11 through Dec. 16 and had a margin of error of +/- 4 percent.


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