Ron DeSantis’ odds to win the 2022 Florida gubernatorial election have worsened over the past two months, according to betting aggregators US-Bookies.com
Two months ago, DeSantis had 1/5 odds to be re-elected (83.3 percent implied probability), but they’ve since worsened to 1/3 (75 percent).
Though DeSantis is still the odds-on favorite, his competitors’ betting odds have improved during this timeframe. U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist, D-Fla., improved from 8/1 (11.1 percent implied probability) to 4/1 (20 percent) in the last two months, while Nikki Fried also improved from 10/1 (9.1 percent) to 8/1 (11.1 percent).
“The odds still point to DeSantis being a heavy favorite, but they took a noticeable hit during a time in which the state of Florida has seen quite a few challenges, and many have been openly critical of the governor,” said a US-Bookies spokesperson. “Billed as a rising star in the GOP, DeSantis also faces a difficult battle in the presidential election, as he’s behind Donald Trump in both presidential and Republican nomination markets.”
Former President Donald Trump is currently the 9/4 favorite to be the Republican nominee in the 2024 U.S. presidential election (30.8 percent implied probability). DeSantis follows at 9/2 (18 percent), with Former Gov. Nikki Haley, R-SC, following at 8/1 (11.1 percent).
Despite his recent approval ratings dipping below 50 percent, President Joe Biden is the current favorite to win the 2024 election, with 7/2 odds to do so (22.2 percent implied probability). He’s followed closely by Vice President Kamala Harris at 4/1 (20 percent), Trump at 6/1 (14.3 percent). and DeSantis at 10/1 (9.1 percent).
“Though DeSantis’ chances at winning the next presidential election aren’t strong at the moment, it does seem like he’ll be the most likely pick as Trump’s running mate,” said a US-Bookies spokesperson. “With 14/1 odds, a Trump-DeSantis is currently the most likely Republican ticket we’ll see in 2021.”